SMIC and Hua Hong Post Q1 Growth, Forecast Stronger Q2 on AI Demand

China’s leading semiconductor foundry, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), announced its Q1 2026 financial results showing modest but notable growth. As reported by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), SMIC posted revenue of approximately $2.51 billion for the quarter. This represents a 0.7% sequential increase from the previous quarter and an 11.5% year-over-year (YoY) jump from $2.247 billion in Q1 2025.

Despite this revenue growth, SMIC’s net profit for the quarter came in at $197.4 million, as reported by the Wall Street Journal and MarketScreener, which fell short of market expectations. The company’s gross margin came in at 20.1%, a decrease from 22.5% a year ago. Although the profit figures missed analyst forecasts, the overall revenue trends indicate a stable demand environment.

This modest gain arrives amid a complex global semiconductor supply chain landscape, compounded by ongoing U.S. export controls aimed at restricting China’s chipmaking capabilities. SMIC’s ability to grow revenue year-over-year despite these headwinds underscores the resilience of China’s domestic semiconductor sector.

Strong Q2 2026 Revenue and Margin Guidance Reflects AI-Driven Demand Surge

SMIC’s outlook for Q2 2026 is significantly more optimistic, with revenue guidance between $2.86 billion and $2.91 billion. This implies a robust quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth rate of 14% to 16%. The company projects a gross margin improvement to a range of 20% to 22%, reflecting operational efficiencies and higher-margin product mix.

In a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange, SMIC emphasized its confidence in sustained customer demand and current orders, stating, “We are more optimistic about our full-year operations than we were last quarter, based on customer demand and orders on hand.” The company further highlighted its commitment to flexibility in resource allocation to maintain high-quality delivery amid a complex geopolitical and market environment.

The stronger Q2 guidance aligns closely with the booming demand for AI chips, a sector in which SMIC is increasingly positioning itself as a key player. The surge in AI-related workloads globally is driving semiconductor manufacturers to ramp up production of specialized chips, enabling SMIC to capitalize on this trend despite external constraints.

Hua Hong Mirrors SMIC’s Positive Momentum with Optimistic Q2 Forecast

China’s other major foundry, Hua Hong Semiconductor, also reported Q1 2026 results reinforcing the sector’s overall growth trajectory. Hua Hong posted revenue of $661 million for Q1, according to the SCMP report. The company projects Q2 revenue between $690 million and $700 million, signaling a 4.5% to 6% QoQ increase.

Hua Hong’s chairman and president, Bai Peng, downplayed the impact of U.S. export controls on the company’s capacity expansion plans. He expressed hope that upcoming meetings between Chinese President Xi Jinping and former U.S. President Donald Trump could help ease restrictions on semiconductor technology exports to China.

Bai Peng’s comments highlight the strategic importance of diplomatic engagement in shaping the future of China’s semiconductor industry, especially as the foundry sector seeks to expand capacity to meet growing domestic and global demand for chips powering AI, 5G, and other advanced technologies.

AI Chip Demand as the Primary Growth Driver for Chinese Foundries

The Q1 earnings and Q2 outlook for both SMIC and Hua Hong underscore the critical role of artificial intelligence in reshaping China’s chip manufacturing landscape. The AI boom is driving unprecedented demand for specialized semiconductors, including AI accelerators, neural network processors, and high-performance logic chips.

SMIC’s strong Q2 guidance, increasing revenue by up to 16% QoQ, reflects its ability to capture this demand. This growth trajectory is particularly significant given the company’s recent strategic focus on mature and specialty process nodes, which are well-suited to many AI applications.

The surge in AI chip demand is also consistent with broader trends covered in previous EastFrontier articles, such as “China’s AI Chip Independence Is No Longer Theoretical” (May 14), which detailed how domestic supply chains are closing the gap with global competitors. SMIC’s Q1 performance and outlook further validate this narrative by demonstrating real financial gains fueled by AI-driven orders.

(Related: China’s AI Chip Independence Is No Longer Theoretical: CXMT, Huawei, and the New Supply Chain)

Implications of SMIC’s Q1 Profit Miss and Flexible Resource Allocation

While SMIC’s revenue growth is encouraging, the profit miss in Q1 2026 signals the challenges the company faces in balancing investment, pricing pressures, and operational costs. The gross margin of 20.1% was stable but modest compared to some global peers, reflecting ongoing cost pressures in a competitive market.

The company’s statement about remaining flexible in resource allocation indicates a strategic approach to navigating these complexities. SMIC must carefully manage capacity expansions, R&D investments, and customer commitments, particularly as it aims to scale production of AI-related chips amid U.S. export restrictions.

This approach aligns with the founder’s earlier strategic commentary published in May, where he cautioned against measuring chip success solely by the ability to manufacture at cutting-edge nodes like 3nm or 2nm. Instead, the focus is on practical and sustainable growth in mature and specialty process technologies that meet China’s immediate market demands.

(Related: SMIC Founder: Measuring Chip Success Only by 3nm or 2nm Is a Misconception)

Navigating U.S. Export Controls: Industry Outlook and Diplomatic Hopes

Both SMIC and Hua Hong’s earnings reports confirm that U.S. export controls remain a significant external factor shaping China’s semiconductor industry. Despite these restrictions, SMIC’s revenue growth and Hua Hong’s capacity expansion plans suggest that Chinese foundries are adapting to maintain momentum.

Hua Hong’s leadership, particularly Bai Peng, expressed hope that diplomatic engagements, including high-profile meetings between Chinese and U.S. leaders, could lead to a relaxation of export controls. This would be a critical development, potentially unlocking access to advanced manufacturing equipment and IP essential for long-term competitiveness.

The industry is closely watching these geopolitical dynamics, as easing export restrictions would accelerate China’s efforts to build a self-reliant semiconductor ecosystem to support its AI ambitions.

SMIC and Hua Hong’s Q1 2026 earnings reports and optimistic Q2 guidance confirm the growing influence of AI chip demand on China’s semiconductor foundries. While profit challenges persist, the companies’ ability to achieve sequential and year-over-year revenue growth amid U.S. export controls demonstrates resilience.

The strong Q2 outlook, with SMIC forecasting up to 16% QoQ revenue growth, signals confidence in capturing the AI-driven market surge. Meanwhile, Hua Hong’s expansion plans and diplomatic hopes highlight the sector’s strategic focus on overcoming external constraints.

As China continues to advance its semiconductor capabilities, these financial results provide a clear snapshot of an industry navigating complex challenges and seizing emerging opportunities in the global AI chip race.

For more insights on China’s semiconductor industry and AI chip developments, visit EastFrontier regularly.