China Aims for 70% Domestic Silicon Wafer Usage by 2026, Accelerating Semiconductor Self-Reliance

China’s semiconductor ambitions have entered a new, accelerated phase as the country sets its sights on sourcing more than 70% of silicon wafers used by domestic chipmakers from local suppliers by the end of 2026. This bold target, revealed in an exclusive report by Nikkei Asia on May 5, 2026, reflects Beijing’s unrelenting drive to reduce dependence on foreign technology amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions. The focus on advanced 12-inch (300mm) wafers, critical substrates for logic and memory chips, underscores China’s intention to close the technology gap in key semiconductor supply chains that power everything from AI processors to consumer electronics.

The Strategic Mandate Behind Domestic Wafer Usage

China’s push is more than a lofty government goal; it has become an unspoken mandate among chipmakers operating within the country. Industry insiders indicate that several major semiconductor fabs, including state-backed giants such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, CXMT, and YMTC, are now encouraged, if not required, to prioritize domestically produced 12-inch wafers. This push complements existing self-reliance in 8-inch wafers, where China is already largely self-sufficient. The 12-inch wafers, however, represent the real technological frontier and bottleneck, as they are essential for manufacturing the most advanced logic and memory chips used in AI, communications, and computing devices.

The strategic importance of this transition is highlighted by major chip foundries and memory makers who have begun instructing their clients and suppliers to shift to local silicon wafer sources. For instance, SMIC, China’s leading foundry, has reportedly asked its chip design clients to use domestically produced wafers, while display giant BOE Technology has mandated that driver IC suppliers switch to local wafers. One industry executive told Nikkei Asia that “only 30% of the market will still be open to foreign players… for the local market in mature and legacy chips, basically local Chinese silicon wafers can already meet the demand.” This marks a significant shift in market dynamics, where foreign wafer vendors are increasingly sidelined in China’s domestic chip ecosystem.

Xi’an Eswin Material Technology: A Key Player in China’s Wafer Ecosystem

At the forefront of this domestic wafer production surge is Xi’an Eswin Material Technology, which went public on Shanghai’s STAR Market in October 2025. Eswin is rapidly scaling capacity, with plans to reach a combined monthly output of 1.2 million wafers by 2026, enough to supply around 40% of China’s domestic 12-inch wafer demand. This capacity expansion includes new facilities under construction in Xi’an and Wuhan, with an additional 700,000 wafers per month expected to come online in 2026.

Despite its rapid growth, Eswin is not yet profitable, having reported revenues of RMB 2.64 billion ($385 million) in 2025. Its customer base is broad and includes global semiconductor heavyweights such as Micron Technology, TSMC, GlobalFoundries, and UMC, with verification processes underway with Samsung and SK Hynix. Domestically, Eswin supplies leading chipmakers including SMIC, Hua Hong, CXMT, and YMTC, demonstrating its growing influence in China’s semiconductor supply chain.

Domestic Industry Growth and Market Share Gains

Other domestic wafer suppliers, such as National Silicon Industry Group, Zhonghuan Advanced, and Hangzhou Lion Microelectronics, are also contributing to China’s wafer self-sufficiency drive. According to Bernstein Research analyst David Dai, China met approximately 50% of the 12-inch wafer demand in 2025, with this figure expected to rise sharply in 2026. Bernstein projects that Chinese players’ global market share by capacity has surged from 3% in 2020 to 28% in 2025 and will reach 32% by the end of 2026.

This rapid growth represents a tectonic shift in a market historically dominated by established leaders like Japan’s Shinetsu Chemical and Sumco, and Taiwan’s GlobalWafers. The global silicon wafer market is also expanding, driven by surging demand for AI chips, with SEMI forecasting a 13% year-on-year growth in wafer shipments in 2026. China’s expanding domestic capacity is thus not only reshaping local supply chains but also beginning to influence global market dynamics.

Geopolitical and Industry Implications

China’s aggressive wafer localization effort is a direct response to mounting US export controls aimed at limiting China’s access to critical semiconductor technology and production equipment. These restrictions have made it increasingly difficult for Chinese companies to procure advanced wafers and chipmaking tools from abroad. Beijing’s strategy to build a robust domestic wafer ecosystem is part of a broader semiconductor self-sufficiency goal that aims for 80% chip self-reliance by 2030, as outlined in previous policy plans.

This strategy is complemented by other recent developments in China’s semiconductor and AI sectors. For example, Chinese chipmakers like SMIC and Hua Hong have posted record revenues in 2025, fueled largely by AI-related chip demand despite US sanctions, as reported by EastFrontier earlier this year (China’s AI Chip Giants Post Record Revenue as AI Boom Overrides US Sanctions). Moreover, Beijing’s ongoing investment in AI infrastructure and talent development, alongside a growing AI hardware ecosystem, positions China to narrow the technology gap with the US, particularly in AI chip production (China’s AI Chip Self-Sufficiency Reaches 41% — Morgan Stanley Projects 76% by 2030).

The wafer localization push also fits into a larger narrative of China’s semiconductor supply chain resilience. Despite US efforts to curb exports of chipmaking equipment, including proposed bans on shipments to Chinese companies like Hua Hong, China has found ways to reroute equipment imports through Southeast Asia and accelerate domestic production capacity expansion (China Reroutes Chip Tool Imports Through Southeast Asia as US Controls Tighten). This adaptive strategy highlights Beijing’s commitment to building a secure and autonomous semiconductor ecosystem.

Challenges Ahead and Market Outlook

Despite the impressive gains, significant challenges remain for China’s wafer industry. Advanced 12-inch wafer manufacturing is a highly complex and capital-intensive process that requires cutting-edge equipment and materials, areas where Chinese suppliers lag behind global leaders. Xi’an Eswin, while a rising star, still operates at a loss and faces stiff competition from established players. Moreover, the global semiconductor supply chain remains interconnected, and Beijing’s localization goals will require continuous innovation and investment to keep pace with evolving chip technology.

Industry analysts caution that while China has made remarkable progress in meeting domestic demand for mature and legacy chips, the leap to leading-edge wafer production remains difficult. Yet, with the global silicon wafer market expanding due to AI-driven demand and China’s market share rising steadily, domestic suppliers are poised to capture an increasing portion of both local and international markets.

China’s wafer autonomy initiative is emblematic of a broader technological decoupling underway in the semiconductor sector. As Beijing pushes forward with its “AI Plus” and semiconductor self-reliance policies, the global chip ecosystem is likely to become more fragmented, with China charting its own course to reduce its reliance on foreign suppliers while fueling its AI and digital economy ambitions.